SRG-PA

SRG-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($23.95)
DCF
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$36.05+50.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$133.85M
Rev: 61.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 17.32%
Computed WACC: 17.32%
Cost of equity (Re)17.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)12.66%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.17%
Debt weight (D/V)7.83%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$23.95
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$145.73M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term53.1%57.1%61.1%65.1%69.1%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.78
Yahoo: $6.00

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$23.95
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 17.32%
Computed WACC: 17.32%
Cost of equity (Re)17.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)12.66%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.17%
Debt weight (D/V)7.83%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$23.95
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth61.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$133.85M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.75

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$36.05
Current Price$23.95
Upside / Downside+50.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$32.60M
Current: -46.0×
Default: $145.73M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share
Current Price$23.95
Upside / Downside
Implied EV$1.50B