SST

SST — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.22)
DCF$73.96+2196.8%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -16.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$2.18-32.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $46.10M
Rev: -30.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 1.39%
Computed WACC: 1.39%
Cost of equity (Re)12.75%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)10.92%
Debt weight (D/V)89.08%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$3.22
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$208.11M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$74.81$95.12$118.74$146.09$177.58
8.0%$56.95$73.29$92.28$114.22$139.47
9.0%$44.56$58.17$73.96$92.18$113.12
10.0%$35.47$47.08$60.53$76.03$93.82
11.0%$28.52$38.60$50.27$63.70$79.09

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-8.61
Yahoo: $5.27

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$3.22
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 1.39%
Computed WACC: 1.39%
Cost of equity (Re)12.75%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)10.92%
Debt weight (D/V)89.08%

Results

Current Price$3.22
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-30.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$46.10M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$3.22
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $18.80M
Current: 12.0×
Default: $208.11M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.18
Current Price$3.22
Upside / Downside-32.2%
Implied EV$225.86M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.79B-$791.89M$208.11M$1.21B$2.21B
8.0x$238.99$115.96$-7.07$-130.09$-253.12
10.0x$243.61$120.59$-2.44$-125.47$-248.49
12.0x$248.24$125.21$2.18$-120.84$-243.87
14.0x$252.86$129.84$6.81$-116.22$-239.24
16.0x$257.49$134.46$11.44$-111.59$-234.62