ST

ST — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($36.85)
DCF$33223504191.06+90158762969.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.6%
DDM$9.89-73.2%
EV/EBITDA$37.37+1.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $448.92M
Rev: 1.1% / EPS: 1021.1%
Computed: 6.84%
Computed WACC: 6.84%
Cost of equity (Re)10.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.75%
Debt weight (D/V)35.25%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$59349074272.31
Current Price$36.85
Upside / Downside+161055832389.3%
Net Debt (used)$2.35B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1013.1%1017.1%1021.1%1025.1%1029.1%
7.0%$54504100718.13$55490485236.03$56491099168.91$57506095917.86$58535629982.54
8.0%$41094372212.57$41838074982.44$42592506281.27$43357781768.65$44134017932.42
9.0%$32067998914.50$32648347442.83$33237067979.39$33834250779.12$34439986743.33
10.0%$25650441559.84$26114648735.73$26585552484.31$27063224998.38$27547738987.75
11.0%$20904165845.76$21282477587.79$21666246789.49$22055532285.32$22450393331.11

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.18
Yahoo: $19.10

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$36.85
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.84%
Computed WACC: 6.84%
Cost of equity (Re)10.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.75%
Debt weight (D/V)35.25%

Results

Current Price$36.85
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-1.8%
Historical Revenue Growth1.1%
Historical Earnings Growth1021.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$448.92M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$36.85
Upside / Downside-73.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $753.90M
Current: 10.3×
Default: $2.35B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$37.37
Current Price$36.85
Upside / Downside+1.4%
Implied EV$7.79B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$349.60M$1.35B$2.35B$3.35B$4.35B
6.3x$30.40$23.54$16.67$9.81$2.94
8.3x$40.75$33.89$27.02$20.16$13.29
10.3x$51.10$44.24$37.37$30.51$23.64
12.3x$61.45$54.59$47.72$40.86$33.99
14.3x$71.80$64.94$58.07$51.21$44.34