STAG

STAG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($39.47)
DCF$499.93+1166.6%
Graham Number$24.87-37.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.1%
DDM$31.93-19.1%
EV/EBITDA$39.87+1.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $324.05M
Rev: 10.8% / EPS: 57.9%
Computed: 7.00%
Computed WACC: 7.00%
Cost of equity (Re)9.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.03 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.04%
Debt weight (D/V)29.96%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$807.92
Current Price$39.47
Upside / Downside+1946.9%
Net Debt (used)$3.26B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term49.9%53.9%57.9%61.9%65.9%
7.0%$620.77$709.51$807.92$916.74$1036.81
8.0%$479.09$547.91$624.21$708.59$801.66
9.0%$382.54$437.80$499.05$566.77$641.46
10.0%$312.96$358.45$408.87$464.59$526.05
11.0%$260.75$298.91$341.20$387.93$439.46

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.46
Yahoo: $18.82

Results

Graham Number$24.87
Current Price$39.47
Margin of Safety-37.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.00%
Computed WACC: 7.00%
Cost of equity (Re)9.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.03 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.04%
Debt weight (D/V)29.96%

Results

Current Price$39.47
Implied Near-term FCF Growth9.4%
Historical Revenue Growth10.8%
Historical Earnings Growth57.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$324.05M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.55

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$31.93
Current Price$39.47
Upside / Downside-19.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $617.09M
Current: 17.6×
Default: $3.26B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$39.87
Current Price$39.47
Upside / Downside+1.0%
Implied EV$10.88B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.26B$2.26B$3.26B$4.26B$5.26B
13.6x$37.41$32.18$26.94$21.71$16.48
15.6x$43.87$38.64$33.40$28.17$22.94
17.6x$50.33$45.10$39.87$34.63$29.40
19.6x$56.79$51.56$46.33$41.09$35.86
21.6x$63.26$58.02$52.79$47.55$42.32