STGW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($4.82)
DCF	$74500.07	+1545544.5%
Graham Number	$2.15	-55.3%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -6.2%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$4.94	+2.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $318.84M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 4.5% / EPS: 200.0%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.67%

Computed WACC: 8.67%

Cost of equity (Re)12.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.54 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)7.39%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)40.78%

Debt weight (D/V)59.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$80374.19

Current Price$4.82

Upside / Downside+1667414.4%

Net Debt (used)$1.68B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	192.0%	196.0%	200.0%	204.0%	208.0%
7.0%	$108746.83	$116400.24	$124478.62	$132999.43	$141980.59
8.0%	$82692.30	$88511.66	$94654.12	$101132.97	$107961.83
9.0%	$65085.79	$69665.79	$74500.07	$79599.07	$84973.52
10.0%	$52514.26	$56209.34	$60109.55	$64223.32	$68559.31
11.0%	$43173.77	$46211.38	$49417.61	$52799.38	$56363.82

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.07

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $2.94

Results

Graham Number$2.15

Current Price$4.82

Margin of Safety-55.3%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.67%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.67%

Cost of equity (Re)12.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.54 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)7.39%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)40.78%

Debt weight (D/V)59.22%

Results

Current Price$4.82

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-7.0%

Historical Revenue Growth4.5%

Historical Earnings Growth200.0%

Base FCF (TTM)$318.84M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$4.82

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $319.78M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 9.1×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.68B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.94

Current Price$4.82

Upside / Downside+2.5%

Implied EV$2.92B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.68B	$1.68B	$1.68B	$1.68B	$1.68B
5.1x	$-0.13	$-0.13	$-0.13	$-0.13	$-0.13
7.1x	$2.40	$2.40	$2.40	$2.40	$2.40
9.1x	$4.94	$4.94	$4.94	$4.94	$4.94
11.1x	$7.48	$7.48	$7.48	$7.48	$7.48
13.1x	$10.01	$10.01	$10.01	$10.01	$10.01

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