STKL

STKL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.49)
DCF$12.75+96.5%
Graham Number$1.11-82.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$6.61+1.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $54.55M
Rev: 16.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.24%
Computed WACC: 9.24%
Cost of equity (Re)10.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.43%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.39%
Debt weight (D/V)33.61%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$12.11
Current Price$6.49
Upside / Downside+86.7%
Net Debt (used)$389.02M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term8.8%12.8%16.8%20.8%24.8%
7.0%$13.92$17.13$20.81$25.02$29.82
8.0%$10.57$13.12$16.04$19.38$23.18
9.0%$8.26$10.35$12.75$15.49$18.61
10.0%$6.57$8.34$10.36$12.67$15.28
11.0%$5.29$6.81$8.54$10.52$12.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.04
Yahoo: $1.38

Results

Graham Number$1.11
Current Price$6.49
Margin of Safety-82.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.24%
Computed WACC: 9.24%
Cost of equity (Re)10.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.43%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.39%
Debt weight (D/V)33.61%

Results

Current Price$6.49
Implied Near-term FCF Growth8.9%
Historical Revenue Growth16.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$54.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$6.49
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $88.53M
Current: 13.2×
Default: $389.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.61
Current Price$6.49
Upside / Downside+1.9%
Implied EV$1.17B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.61B-$610.98M$389.02M$1.39B$2.39B
9.2x$20.52$12.07$3.62$-4.83$-13.28
11.2x$22.02$13.57$5.12$-3.33$-11.78
13.2x$23.51$15.06$6.61$-1.84$-10.29
15.2x$25.01$16.56$8.11$-0.34$-8.79
17.2x$26.50$18.05$9.60$1.15$-7.30