STRW

STRW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.84)
DCF$-57.29-546.2%
Graham Number$3.51-72.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$12.77-0.5%
EV/EBITDA$15.74+22.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 31.5% / EPS: -10.1%
Computed: 4.87%
Computed WACC: 4.87%
Cost of equity (Re)5.24%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.74%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.49%
Debt weight (D/V)52.51%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-57.29
Current Price$12.84
Upside / Downside-546.2%
Net Debt (used)$759.54M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term23.5%27.5%31.5%35.5%39.5%
7.0%$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29
8.0%$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29
9.0%$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29
10.0%$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29
11.0%$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29$-57.29

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.60
Yahoo: $0.91

Results

Graham Number$3.51
Current Price$12.84
Margin of Safety-72.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.87%
Computed WACC: 4.87%
Cost of equity (Re)5.24%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.74%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.49%
Debt weight (D/V)52.51%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$12.84
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth31.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-10.1%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.62

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.77
Current Price$12.84
Upside / Downside-0.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $130.16M
Current: 7.4×
Default: $759.54M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.74
Current Price$12.84
Upside / Downside+22.6%
Implied EV$968.25M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.24B-$240.46M$759.54M$1.76B$2.76B
3.4x$127.33$51.90$-23.53$-98.96$-174.39
5.4x$146.97$71.54$-3.89$-79.32$-154.75
7.4x$166.60$91.17$15.74$-59.69$-135.12
9.4x$186.24$110.81$35.38$-40.05$-115.48
11.4x$205.87$130.44$55.01$-20.42$-95.85