STVN

STVN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($17.50)
DCF$37.48+114.2%
Graham Number$9.16-47.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -5.2%
DDM$1.24-92.9%
EV/EBITDA$96.11+449.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $125.51M
Rev: 4.8% / EPS: 0.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$37.48
Current Price$17.50
Upside / Downside+114.2%
Net Debt (used)$340.30M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$37.86$46.90$57.42$69.60$83.62
8.0%$29.91$37.18$45.64$55.41$66.65
9.0%$24.39$30.45$37.48$45.59$54.92
10.0%$20.35$25.52$31.50$38.41$46.33
11.0%$17.25$21.74$26.93$32.91$39.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.59
Yahoo: $6.32

Results

Graham Number$9.16
Current Price$17.50
Margin of Safety-47.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$17.50
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-5.2%
Historical Revenue Growth4.8%
Historical Earnings Growth0.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$125.51M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.06

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.24
Current Price$17.50
Upside / Downside-92.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $276.61M
Current: 18.5×
Default: $340.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$96.11
Current Price$17.50
Upside / Downside+449.2%
Implied EV$5.12B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.66B-$659.70M$340.30M$1.34B$2.34B
14.5x$114.08$93.97$73.85$53.73$33.62
16.5x$125.21$105.10$84.98$64.86$44.75
18.5x$136.34$116.23$96.11$75.99$55.88
20.5x$147.47$127.36$107.24$87.12$67.00
22.5x$158.60$138.48$118.37$98.25$78.13