SU

SU — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($57.78)
DCF$6265.29+10743.4%
Graham Number$47.00-18.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -0.7%
DDM$36.05-37.6%
EV/EBITDA$57.63-0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.37B
Rev: -3.9% / EPS: 87.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$6265.29
Current Price$57.78
Upside / Downside+10743.4%
Net Debt (used)$11.22B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term79.6%83.6%87.6%91.6%95.6%
7.0%$8217.64$9171.35$10211.65$11344.33$12575.39
8.0%$6327.35$7061.07$7861.37$8732.67$9679.61
9.0%$5043.61$5627.96$6265.29$6959.13$7713.15
10.0%$4121.94$4599.07$5119.43$5685.88$6301.44
11.0%$3433.08$3830.09$4263.04$4734.31$5246.41

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.55
Yahoo: $27.66

Results

Graham Number$47.00
Current Price$57.78
Margin of Safety-18.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$57.78
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-0.7%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.9%
Historical Earnings Growth87.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$6.37B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.75

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$36.05
Current Price$57.78
Upside / Downside-37.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $14.91B
Current: 5.4×
Default: $11.22B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$57.63
Current Price$57.78
Upside / Downside-0.3%
Implied EV$79.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.22B$8.22B$11.22B$14.22B$17.22B
1.4x$12.55$10.02$7.50$4.98$2.46
3.4x$37.61$35.09$32.57$30.05$27.53
5.4x$62.68$60.15$57.63$55.11$52.59
7.4x$87.74$85.22$82.70$80.18$77.66
9.4x$112.81$110.28$107.76$105.24$102.72