SUPN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($55.09)
DCF	$4.84	-91.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$55.09	+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 21.5% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.17%

Computed WACC: 8.17%

Cost of equity (Re)8.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.72 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.05%

Debt weight (D/V)0.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.84

Current Price$55.09

Upside / Downside-91.2%

Net Debt (used)-$278.31M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	13.5%	17.5%	21.5%	25.5%	29.5%
7.0%	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84
8.0%	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84
9.0%	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84
10.0%	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84
11.0%	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84	$4.84

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.68

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $18.48

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$55.09

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.17%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.17%

Cost of equity (Re)8.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.72 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.05%

Debt weight (D/V)0.95%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$55.09

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth21.5%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$55.09

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $124.77M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 23.1×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$278.31M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.09

Current Price$55.09

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$2.89B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.28B	-$1.28B	-$278.31M	$721.69M	$1.72B
19.1x	$81.21	$63.81	$46.40	$29.00	$11.60
21.1x	$85.56	$68.15	$50.75	$33.34	$15.94
23.1x	$89.90	$72.49	$55.09	$37.69	$20.28
25.1x	$94.24	$76.84	$59.43	$42.03	$24.63
27.1x	$98.58	$81.18	$63.78	$46.37	$28.97

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