SVM

SVM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.63)
DCF$213.86+1468.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -1.2%
DDM$0.62-95.5%
EV/EBITDA$14.64+7.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $217.94M
Rev: 50.8% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$213.86
Current Price$13.63
Upside / Downside+1468.5%
Net Debt (used)-$347.94M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term42.8%46.8%50.8%54.8%58.8%
7.0%$259.19$296.79$338.68$385.23$436.80
8.0%$202.67$231.91$264.47$300.65$340.73
9.0%$164.11$187.65$213.86$242.97$275.22
10.0%$136.29$155.71$177.34$201.36$227.96
11.0%$115.38$131.72$149.91$170.10$192.46

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.09
Yahoo: $3.22

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$13.63
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$13.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-1.2%
Historical Revenue Growth50.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$217.94M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.03

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$0.62
Current Price$13.63
Upside / Downside-95.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $192.79M
Current: 15.0×
Default: -$347.94M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.64
Current Price$13.63
Upside / Downside+7.4%
Implied EV$2.89B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.35B-$1.35B-$347.94M$652.06M$1.65B
11.0x$20.20$15.68$11.15$6.62$2.09
13.0x$21.95$17.42$12.89$8.37$3.84
15.0x$23.70$19.17$14.64$10.11$5.58
17.0x$25.44$20.91$16.39$11.86$7.33
19.0x$27.19$22.66$18.13$13.60$9.07