SWAG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.70)
DCF	$-16.78	-1087.0%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$4.60M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 29.0% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 14.93%

Computed WACC: 14.93%

Cost of equity (Re)16.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.15 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)92.72%

Debt weight (D/V)7.28%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-7.11

Current Price$1.70

Upside / Downside-518.0%

Net Debt (used)-$9.86M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	21.0%	25.0%	29.0%	33.0%	37.0%
7.0%	$-19.04	$-22.38	$-26.16	$-30.44	$-35.26
8.0%	$-14.99	$-17.62	$-20.59	$-23.96	$-27.74
9.0%	$-12.22	$-14.36	$-16.78	$-19.51	$-22.59
10.0%	$-10.20	$-11.99	$-14.01	$-16.29	$-18.86
11.0%	$-8.68	$-10.20	$-11.92	$-13.86	$-16.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.08

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.65

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.70

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 14.93%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 14.93%

Cost of equity (Re)16.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.15 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)92.72%

Debt weight (D/V)7.28%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.70

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth29.0%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$4.60M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.70

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$1.80M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -12.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$9.86M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.75

Current Price$1.70

Upside / Downside+2.9%

Implied EV$22.14M

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