SWK

SWK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($84.03)
DCF$57.68-31.4%
Graham Number$59.01-29.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 9.1%
DDM$68.39-18.6%
EV/EBITDA$86.49+2.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $854.70M
Rev: -1.0% / EPS: -19.3%
Computed: 9.70%
Computed WACC: 9.70%
Cost of equity (Re)10.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.09%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.27%
Debt weight (D/V)32.73%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$48.16
Current Price$84.03
Upside / Downside-42.7%
Net Debt (used)$6.06B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$58.51$78.25$101.21$127.78$158.38
8.0%$41.15$57.03$75.48$96.81$121.34
9.0%$29.11$42.34$57.68$75.39$95.74
10.0%$20.28$31.56$44.63$59.70$76.99
11.0%$13.52$23.32$34.66$47.71$62.67

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.65
Yahoo: $58.40

Results

Graham Number$59.01
Current Price$84.03
Margin of Safety-29.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.70%
Computed WACC: 9.70%
Cost of equity (Re)10.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.09%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.27%
Debt weight (D/V)32.73%

Results

Current Price$84.03
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-19.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$854.70M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$68.39
Current Price$84.03
Upside / Downside-18.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.69B
Current: 11.5×
Default: $6.06B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$86.49
Current Price$84.03
Upside / Downside+2.9%
Implied EV$19.47B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.06B$4.06B$6.06B$8.06B$10.06B
7.5x$68.79$55.89$43.00$30.10$17.20
9.5x$90.54$77.64$64.74$51.85$38.95
11.5x$112.28$99.39$86.49$73.60$60.70
13.5x$134.03$121.14$108.24$95.34$82.45
15.5x$155.78$142.88$129.99$117.09$104.19