SYNA

SYNA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($81.51)
DCF$112.40+37.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$81.51+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $169.50M
Rev: 13.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 10.65%
Computed WACC: 10.65%
Cost of equity (Re)13.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.28%
Debt weight (D/V)21.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$85.12
Current Price$81.51
Upside / Downside+4.4%
Net Debt (used)$444.40M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term5.2%9.2%13.2%17.2%21.2%
7.0%$119.09$144.07$172.86$205.88$243.60
8.0%$94.23$114.14$137.07$163.34$193.33
9.0%$77.08$93.51$112.40$134.04$158.70
10.0%$64.55$78.45$94.41$112.66$133.46
11.0%$55.02$66.98$80.72$96.41$114.27

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.59
Yahoo: $35.75

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$81.51
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.65%
Computed WACC: 10.65%
Cost of equity (Re)13.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.28%
Debt weight (D/V)21.72%

Results

Current Price$81.51
Implied Near-term FCF Growth12.5%
Historical Revenue Growth13.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$169.50M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$81.51
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $93.10M
Current: 38.7×
Default: $444.40M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$81.51
Current Price$81.51
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$3.60B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.56B-$555.60M$444.40M$1.44B$2.44B
34.7x$123.54$97.72$71.90$46.08$20.26
36.7x$128.34$102.52$76.70$50.88$25.06
38.7x$133.15$107.33$81.51$55.69$29.87
40.7x$137.96$112.14$86.32$60.50$34.68
42.7x$142.77$116.95$91.13$65.31$39.49