SYY

SYY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($90.48)
DCF$35.56-60.7%
Graham Number$19.95-78.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.6%
DDM$44.50-50.8%
EV/EBITDA$90.59+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.75B
Rev: 3.0% / EPS: -1.2%
Computed: 5.63%
Computed WACC: 5.63%
Cost of equity (Re)7.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.33%
Debt weight (D/V)25.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$105.61
Current Price$90.48
Upside / Downside+16.7%
Net Debt (used)$13.74B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$36.12$49.22$64.47$82.12$102.44
8.0%$24.58$35.13$47.39$61.55$77.85
9.0%$16.59$25.38$35.56$47.33$60.84
10.0%$10.73$18.22$26.90$36.90$48.39
11.0%$6.23$12.75$20.27$28.94$38.88

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.71
Yahoo: $4.77

Results

Graham Number$19.95
Current Price$90.48
Margin of Safety-78.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.63%
Computed WACC: 5.63%
Cost of equity (Re)7.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.33%
Debt weight (D/V)25.67%

Results

Current Price$90.48
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.2%
Historical Revenue Growth3.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-1.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.75B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.16

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$44.50
Current Price$90.48
Upside / Downside-50.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.52B
Current: 12.6×
Default: $13.74B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$90.59
Current Price$90.48
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$57.13B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.74B$10.74B$13.74B$16.74B$19.74B
8.6x$65.40$59.13$52.87$46.60$40.34
10.6x$84.26$77.99$71.73$65.47$59.20
12.6x$103.12$96.86$90.59$84.33$78.07
14.6x$121.98$115.72$109.46$103.19$96.93
16.6x$140.85$134.58$128.32$122.06$115.79