TBCH

TBCH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.56)
DCF$12.29-2.1%
Graham Number$10.71-14.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$12.54-0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $18.33M
Rev: -14.7% / EPS: -50.0%
Computed: 15.70%
Computed WACC: 15.70%
Cost of equity (Re)16.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)16.95%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.01%
Debt weight (D/V)27.99%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$3.75
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside-70.2%
Net Debt (used)$84.42M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$12.44$15.84$19.79$24.37$29.64
8.0%$9.45$12.18$15.36$19.03$23.26
9.0%$7.37$9.65$12.29$15.34$18.85
10.0%$5.85$7.80$10.05$12.64$15.62
11.0%$4.69$6.38$8.33$10.58$13.15

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.89
Yahoo: $5.73

Results

Graham Number$10.71
Current Price$12.56
Margin of Safety-14.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 15.70%
Computed WACC: 15.70%
Cost of equity (Re)16.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)16.95%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.01%
Debt weight (D/V)27.99%

Results

Current Price$12.56
Implied Near-term FCF Growth19.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-14.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-50.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$18.33M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $38.70M
Current: 8.4×
Default: $84.42M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$12.54
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside-0.2%
Implied EV$326.60M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.92B-$915.58M$84.42M$1.08B$2.08B
4.4x$108.09$56.31$4.53$-47.26$-99.04
6.4x$112.10$60.32$8.53$-43.25$-95.03
8.4x$116.11$64.32$12.54$-39.24$-91.03
10.4x$120.12$68.33$16.55$-35.24$-87.02
12.4x$124.12$72.34$20.56$-31.23$-83.01