TCBS

TCBS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($16.65)
DCF$-12.97-177.9%
Graham Number$19.43+16.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.12-75.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 12.6% / EPS: 41.2%
Computed: 10.45%
Computed WACC: 10.45%
Cost of equity (Re)4.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.04 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)20.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.60%
Debt weight (D/V)51.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-12.97
Current Price$16.65
Upside / Downside-177.9%
Net Debt (used)$35.29M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term33.2%37.2%41.2%45.2%49.2%
7.0%$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97
8.0%$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97
9.0%$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97
10.0%$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97
11.0%$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97$-12.97

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.86
Yahoo: $19.51

Results

Graham Number$19.43
Current Price$16.65
Margin of Safety+16.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.45%
Computed WACC: 10.45%
Cost of equity (Re)4.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.04 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)20.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.60%
Debt weight (D/V)51.40%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$16.65
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth12.6%
Historical Earnings Growth41.2%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$16.65
Upside / Downside-75.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $35.29M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-12.97
Current Price$16.65
Upside / Downside-177.9%
Implied EV$0