TCI

TCI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($36.07)
DCF$-260.16-821.3%
Graham Number$37.67+4.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$38.31+6.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$97.86M
Rev: 7.9% / EPS: -59.5%
Computed: 5.28%
Computed WACC: 5.28%
Cost of equity (Re)6.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.23%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.24%
Debt weight (D/V)41.76%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-591.47
Current Price$36.07
Upside / Downside-1739.8%
Net Debt (used)$211.59M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.1%3.9%7.9%11.9%15.9%
7.0%$-266.50$-314.53$-370.22$-434.47$-508.24
8.0%$-222.25$-260.76$-305.36$-356.75$-415.70
9.0%$-191.64$-223.60$-260.55$-303.08$-351.82
10.0%$-169.22$-196.39$-227.76$-263.83$-305.12
11.0%$-152.09$-175.62$-202.75$-233.91$-269.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.65
Yahoo: $97.04

Results

Graham Number$37.67
Current Price$36.07
Margin of Safety+4.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.28%
Computed WACC: 5.28%
Cost of equity (Re)6.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.23%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.24%
Debt weight (D/V)41.76%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$36.07
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth7.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-59.5%
Base FCF (TTM)-$97.86M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$36.07
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.13M
Current: 76.1×
Default: $211.59M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$38.31
Current Price$36.07
Upside / Downside+6.2%
Implied EV$542.58M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.79B-$788.41M$211.59M$1.21B$2.21B
72.1x$266.51$150.76$35.01$-80.74$-196.49
74.1x$268.16$152.41$36.66$-79.09$-194.84
76.1x$269.81$154.06$38.31$-77.44$-193.19
78.1x$271.46$155.71$39.96$-75.79$-191.54
80.1x$273.11$157.36$41.61$-74.14$-189.89