TCMD

TCMD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.29)
DCF$71.07+142.6%
Graham Number$13.42-54.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$29.29-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $34.58M
Rev: 21.0% / EPS: 17.6%
Computed: 9.41%
Computed WACC: 9.41%
Cost of equity (Re)9.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.97 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.63%
Debt weight (D/V)2.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$66.42
Current Price$29.29
Upside / Downside+126.8%
Net Debt (used)-$67.49M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.0%17.0%21.0%25.0%29.0%
7.0%$77.44$90.91$106.29$123.81$143.66
8.0%$62.59$73.25$85.42$99.26$114.94
9.0%$52.38$61.11$71.07$82.39$95.21
10.0%$44.96$52.28$60.64$70.13$80.88
11.0%$39.32$45.59$52.74$60.85$70.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.82
Yahoo: $9.76

Results

Graham Number$13.42
Current Price$29.29
Margin of Safety-54.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.41%
Computed WACC: 9.41%
Cost of equity (Re)9.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.97 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.63%
Debt weight (D/V)2.37%

Results

Current Price$29.29
Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.6%
Historical Revenue Growth21.0%
Historical Earnings Growth17.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$34.58M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$29.29
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $35.92M
Current: 16.4×
Default: -$67.49M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$29.29
Current Price$29.29
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$589.73M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.07B-$1.07B-$67.49M$932.51M$1.93B
12.4x$112.02$67.45$22.89$-21.68$-66.25
14.4x$115.22$70.65$26.09$-18.48$-63.04
16.4x$118.42$73.85$29.29$-15.28$-59.84
18.4x$121.62$77.06$32.49$-12.07$-56.64
20.4x$124.82$80.26$35.69$-8.87$-53.44