TDG

TDG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1316.26)
DCF$205.12-84.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 31.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$1316.38+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.33B
Rev: 13.9% / EPS: -12.9%
Computed: 6.57%
Computed WACC: 6.57%
Cost of equity (Re)9.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.90 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.21%
Debt weight (D/V)28.79%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$664.52
Current Price$1316.26
Upside / Downside-49.5%
Net Debt (used)$27.52B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term5.9%9.9%13.9%17.9%21.9%
7.0%$246.39$386.09$546.96$731.36$941.81
8.0%$105.96$217.24$345.25$491.86$659.05
9.0%$9.14$100.88$206.30$326.92$464.37
10.0%$-61.54$15.96$104.94$206.66$322.47
11.0%$-115.33$-48.62$27.89$115.27$214.68

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $31.06
Yahoo: $-164.37

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$1316.26
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.57%
Computed WACC: 6.57%
Cost of equity (Re)9.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.90 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.21%
Debt weight (D/V)28.79%

Results

Current Price$1316.26
Implied Near-term FCF Growth21.4%
Historical Revenue Growth13.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-12.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.33B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1316.26
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.64B
Current: 21.9×
Default: $27.52B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1316.38
Current Price$1316.26
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$101.86B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$13.52B$20.52B$27.52B$34.52B$41.52B
17.9x$1235.35$1111.40$987.45$863.50$739.55
19.9x$1399.82$1275.87$1151.92$1027.97$904.01
21.9x$1564.29$1440.33$1316.38$1192.43$1068.48
23.9x$1728.75$1604.80$1480.85$1356.90$1232.95
25.9x$1893.22$1769.27$1645.32$1521.36$1397.41