TDW

TDW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($79.87)
DCF$133.53+67.2%
Graham Number$39.25-50.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -3.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$79.80-0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $391.05M
Rev: 0.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.71%
Computed WACC: 7.71%
Cost of equity (Re)7.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.61 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)10.03%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.42%
Debt weight (D/V)14.58%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$168.24
Current Price$79.87
Upside / Downside+110.6%
Net Debt (used)$247.29M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$134.72$162.97$195.84$233.88$277.69
8.0%$109.86$132.60$159.01$189.54$224.67
9.0%$92.63$111.57$133.53$158.88$188.01
10.0%$79.99$96.14$114.85$136.41$161.17
11.0%$70.30$84.34$100.57$119.25$140.67

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.97
Yahoo: $23.06

Results

Graham Number$39.25
Current Price$79.87
Margin of Safety-50.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.71%
Computed WACC: 7.71%
Cost of equity (Re)7.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.61 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)10.03%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.42%
Debt weight (D/V)14.58%

Results

Current Price$79.87
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-6.6%
Historical Revenue Growth0.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$391.05M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$79.87
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $438.88M
Current: 9.6×
Default: $247.29M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$79.80
Current Price$79.87
Upside / Downside-0.1%
Implied EV$4.20B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.75B-$752.71M$247.29M$1.25B$2.25B
5.6x$84.73$64.55$44.38$24.20$4.02
7.6x$102.44$82.26$62.09$41.91$21.73
9.6x$120.15$99.97$79.80$59.62$39.44
11.6x$137.86$117.68$97.51$77.33$57.15
13.6x$155.57$135.39$115.22$95.04$74.86