TECK

TECK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($57.19)
DCF$-84.17-247.2%
Graham Number$41.84-26.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$7.62-86.7%
EV/EBITDA$59.91+4.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$254.38M
Rev: 9.8% / EPS: 42.5%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-84.30
Current Price$57.19
Upside / Downside-247.4%
Net Debt (used)$4.63B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term34.5%38.5%42.5%46.5%50.5%
7.0%$-98.11$-111.79$-127.14$-144.29$-163.39
8.0%$-79.03$-89.71$-101.69$-115.06$-129.97
9.0%$-66.00$-74.63$-84.30$-95.10$-107.13
10.0%$-56.58$-63.73$-71.74$-80.68$-90.64
11.0%$-49.49$-55.53$-62.28$-69.83$-78.23

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.07
Yahoo: $37.58

Results

Graham Number$41.84
Current Price$57.19
Margin of Safety-26.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$57.19
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth9.8%
Historical Earnings Growth42.5%
Base FCF (TTM)-$254.38M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.37

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$7.62
Current Price$57.19
Upside / Downside-86.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.02B
Current: 8.3×
Default: $4.63B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$59.91
Current Price$57.19
Upside / Downside+4.8%
Implied EV$33.47B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.63B$3.63B$4.63B$5.63B$6.63B
4.3x$30.65$28.57$26.50$24.42$22.34
6.3x$47.36$45.28$43.20$41.13$39.05
8.3x$64.06$61.99$59.91$57.83$55.76
10.3x$80.77$78.69$76.61$74.54$72.46
12.3x$97.47$95.40$93.32$91.24$89.17