TGLS

TGLS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.13)
DCF$11.97-73.5%
Graham Number$37.11-17.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 26.8%
DDM$12.36-72.6%
EV/EBITDA$43.77-3.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $35.59M
Rev: 2.4% / EPS: -43.1%
Computed: 12.90%
Computed WACC: 12.90%
Cost of equity (Re)13.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.18%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.45%
Debt weight (D/V)7.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$6.88
Current Price$45.13
Upside / Downside-84.8%
Net Debt (used)$67.58M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$12.08$14.82$18.00$21.69$25.93
8.0%$9.67$11.88$14.44$17.39$20.80
9.0%$8.01$9.84$11.97$14.42$17.25
10.0%$6.78$8.35$10.16$12.25$14.65
11.0%$5.84$7.20$8.77$10.58$12.66

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.84
Yahoo: $15.94

Results

Graham Number$37.11
Current Price$45.13
Margin of Safety-17.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.90%
Computed WACC: 12.90%
Cost of equity (Re)13.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.18%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.45%
Debt weight (D/V)7.55%

Results

Current Price$45.13
Implied Near-term FCF Growth38.1%
Historical Revenue Growth2.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-43.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$35.59M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.36
Current Price$45.13
Upside / Downside-72.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $267.51M
Current: 7.9×
Default: $67.58M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$43.77
Current Price$45.13
Upside / Downside-3.0%
Implied EV$2.11B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.93B-$932.42M$67.58M$1.07B$2.07B
3.9x$63.74$42.26$20.79$-0.68$-22.16
5.9x$75.23$53.75$32.28$10.81$-10.67
7.9x$86.71$65.24$43.77$22.29$0.82
9.9x$98.20$76.73$55.26$33.78$12.31
11.9x$109.69$88.22$66.74$45.27$23.80