TKLF

TKLF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.09)
DCF$-1375.39-44610.9%
Graham Number$15.72+408.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.94+60.0%
EV/EBITDA$29.00+838.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.70M
Rev: 94.3% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1373.24
Current Price$3.09
Upside / Downside-44541.5%
Net Debt (used)$75.93M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term86.3%90.3%94.3%98.3%102.3%
7.0%$-1813.52$-2014.02$-2232.07$-2468.78$-2725.35
8.0%$-1398.90$-1552.95$-1720.48$-1902.34$-2099.44
9.0%$-1117.47$-1240.00$-1373.24$-1517.88$-1674.63
10.0%$-915.54$-1015.46$-1124.10$-1242.03$-1369.83
11.0%$-764.71$-847.74$-938.01$-1036.00$-1142.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.10
Yahoo: $9.98

Results

Graham Number$15.72
Current Price$3.09
Margin of Safety+408.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$3.09
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth94.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.70M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.94
Current Price$3.09
Upside / Downside+60.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.36M
Current: 23.8×
Default: $75.93M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$29.00
Current Price$3.09
Upside / Downside+838.6%
Implied EV$198.69M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.92B-$924.07M$75.93M$1.08B$2.08B
19.8x$493.60$257.35$21.10$-215.15$-451.41
21.8x$497.55$261.30$25.05$-211.20$-447.45
23.8x$501.50$265.25$29.00$-207.25$-443.50
25.8x$505.46$269.21$32.95$-203.30$-439.55
27.8x$509.41$273.16$36.91$-199.34$-435.60