TKR

TKR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($106.34)
DCF$71.64-32.6%
Graham Number$65.08-38.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.3%
DDM$28.84-72.9%
EV/EBITDA$112.31+5.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $378.92M
Rev: 3.5% / EPS: -11.8%
Computed: 8.45%
Computed WACC: 8.45%
Cost of equity (Re)10.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.25%
Debt weight (D/V)21.75%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$80.59
Current Price$106.34
Upside / Downside-24.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.67B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$72.46$91.97$114.67$140.94$171.20
8.0%$55.29$71.00$89.24$110.32$134.58
9.0%$43.40$56.47$71.64$89.15$109.26
10.0%$34.66$45.82$58.74$73.63$90.72
11.0%$27.98$37.67$48.88$61.78$76.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.11
Yahoo: $45.80

Results

Graham Number$65.08
Current Price$106.34
Margin of Safety-38.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.45%
Computed WACC: 8.45%
Cost of equity (Re)10.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.25%
Debt weight (D/V)21.75%

Results

Current Price$106.34
Implied Near-term FCF Growth8.7%
Historical Revenue Growth3.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-11.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$378.92M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$106.34
Upside / Downside-72.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $791.00M
Current: 12.0×
Default: $1.67B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$112.31
Current Price$106.34
Upside / Downside+5.6%
Implied EV$9.48B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.67B$1.67B$1.67B$1.67B$1.67B
8.0x$66.81$66.81$66.81$66.81$66.81
10.0x$89.56$89.56$89.56$89.56$89.56
12.0x$112.31$112.31$112.31$112.31$112.31
14.0x$135.06$135.06$135.06$135.06$135.06
16.0x$157.81$157.81$157.81$157.81$157.81