TLN

TLN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($353.24)
DCF$7191.73+1935.9%
Graham Number$50.67-85.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$353.30+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.09B
Rev: 58.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 10.71%
Computed WACC: 10.71%
Cost of equity (Re)13.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.61 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.15%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.25%
Debt weight (D/V)29.75%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5203.00
Current Price$353.24
Upside / Downside+1372.9%
Net Debt (used)$6.14B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term50.0%54.0%58.0%62.0%66.0%
7.0%$8922.27$10181.50$11577.67$13121.70$14825.04
8.0%$6909.95$7886.48$8969.04$10166.06$11486.40
9.0%$5538.76$6322.76$7191.73$8152.42$9211.94
10.0%$4550.67$5196.00$5911.15$6701.65$7573.32
11.0%$3809.19$4350.54$4950.33$5613.20$6344.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.77
Yahoo: $23.92

Results

Graham Number$50.67
Current Price$353.24
Margin of Safety-85.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.71%
Computed WACC: 10.71%
Cost of equity (Re)13.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.61 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.15%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.25%
Debt weight (D/V)29.75%

Results

Current Price$353.24
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.9%
Historical Revenue Growth58.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$1.09B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$353.24
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $321.00M
Current: 69.4×
Default: $6.14B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$353.30
Current Price$353.24
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$22.29B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.14B$4.14B$6.14B$8.14B$10.14B
65.4x$412.75$368.97$325.19$281.42$237.64
67.4x$426.80$383.02$339.25$295.47$251.70
69.4x$440.85$397.07$353.30$309.52$265.75
71.4x$454.90$411.13$367.35$323.57$279.80
73.4x$468.95$425.18$381.40$337.63$293.85