TLYS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.42)
DCF	$-2.88	-303.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 22.0%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $3.42M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -2.7% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 2.14%

Computed WACC: 2.14%

Cost of equity (Re)10.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)20.68%

Debt weight (D/V)79.32%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.42

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)$126.90M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-2.86	$-2.33	$-1.72	$-1.01	$-0.19
8.0%	$-3.33	$-2.90	$-2.41	$-1.84	$-1.18
9.0%	$-3.65	$-3.30	$-2.88	$-2.41	$-1.87
10.0%	$-3.89	$-3.58	$-3.23	$-2.83	$-2.37
11.0%	$-4.07	$-3.81	$-3.50	$-3.15	$-2.75

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.17

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $2.68

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.42

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 2.14%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 2.14%

Cost of equity (Re)10.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)20.68%

Debt weight (D/V)79.32%

Results

Current Price$1.42

Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%

Historical Revenue Growth-2.7%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$3.42M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.42

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$22.84M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -7.4×

Net Debt($B)Default: $126.90M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.87

Current Price$1.42

Upside / Downside+31.5%

Implied EV$170.16M

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