TMO

TMO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($508.58)
DCF$180.67-64.5%
Graham Number$238.10-53.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.4%
DDM$36.26-92.9%
EV/EBITDA$503.20-1.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.39B
Rev: 7.2% / EPS: 9.3%
Computed: 7.93%
Computed WACC: 7.93%
Cost of equity (Re)9.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.97 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.21%
Debt weight (D/V)17.79%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$236.23
Current Price$508.58
Upside / Downside-53.6%
Net Debt (used)$31.25B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.3%5.3%9.3%13.3%17.3%
7.0%$189.82$243.50$305.63$377.20$459.27
8.0%$139.32$182.29$231.97$289.13$354.60
9.0%$104.41$140.01$181.11$228.35$282.40
10.0%$78.86$109.08$143.92$183.93$229.67
11.0%$59.36$85.49$115.58$150.09$189.51

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $17.75
Yahoo: $141.96

Results

Graham Number$238.10
Current Price$508.58
Margin of Safety-53.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.93%
Computed WACC: 7.93%
Cost of equity (Re)9.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.97 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.21%
Debt weight (D/V)17.79%

Results

Current Price$508.58
Implied Near-term FCF Growth19.8%
Historical Revenue Growth7.2%
Historical Earnings Growth9.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$4.39B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.76

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$36.26
Current Price$508.58
Upside / Downside-92.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $11.14B
Current: 19.8×
Default: $31.25B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$503.20
Current Price$508.58
Upside / Downside-1.1%
Implied EV$220.31B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$15.25B$23.25B$31.25B$39.25B$47.25B
15.8x$427.20$405.91$384.62$363.32$342.03
17.8x$486.49$465.20$443.91$422.61$401.32
19.8x$545.78$524.49$503.20$481.91$460.61
21.8x$605.08$583.78$562.49$541.20$519.90
23.8x$664.37$643.07$621.78$600.49$579.19