TPC

TPC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($73.57)
DCF$1246.62+1594.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -9.9%
DDM$4.94-93.3%
EV/EBITDA$74.47+1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $496.31M
Rev: 41.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 14.52%
Computed WACC: 14.52%
Cost of equity (Re)16.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.18%
Debt weight (D/V)10.82%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$550.24
Current Price$73.57
Upside / Downside+647.9%
Net Debt (used)-$263.63M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term33.2%37.2%41.2%45.2%49.2%
7.0%$1469.98$1698.63$1955.24$2242.30$2562.46
8.0%$1155.33$1333.91$1534.27$1758.34$2008.18
9.0%$940.28$1084.68$1246.62$1427.68$1629.51
10.0%$784.80$904.50$1038.70$1188.70$1355.85
11.0%$667.70$768.82$882.16$1008.79$1149.87

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.55
Yahoo: $23.08

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$73.57
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 14.52%
Computed WACC: 14.52%
Cost of equity (Re)16.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.18%
Debt weight (D/V)10.82%

Results

Current Price$73.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-0.1%
Historical Revenue Growth41.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$496.31M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.94
Current Price$73.57
Upside / Downside-93.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $283.85M
Current: 12.9×
Default: -$263.63M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$74.47
Current Price$73.57
Upside / Downside+1.2%
Implied EV$3.66B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.26B-$1.26B-$263.63M$736.37M$1.74B
8.9x$90.86$71.90$52.94$33.98$15.02
10.9x$101.63$82.67$63.71$44.75$25.79
12.9x$112.39$93.43$74.47$55.51$36.55
14.9x$123.15$104.19$85.23$66.27$47.31
16.9x$133.92$114.96$96.00$77.04$58.08