TPG

TPG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.57)
DCF$917.38+1913.1%
Graham Number$8.67-81.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -10.9%
DDM$42.44-6.9%
EV/EBITDA$66.73+46.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.24B
Rev: 38.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 11.87%
Computed WACC: 11.87%
Cost of equity (Re)12.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.81%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.91%
Debt weight (D/V)12.09%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$568.74
Current Price$45.57
Upside / Downside+1148.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.59B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term30.5%34.5%38.5%42.5%46.5%
7.0%$1076.76$1249.75$1444.32$1662.44$1906.17
8.0%$844.90$980.20$1132.32$1302.79$1493.23
9.0%$686.34$795.89$919.01$1056.94$1210.98
10.0%$571.63$662.57$764.73$879.14$1006.88
11.0%$485.18$562.10$648.49$745.20$853.15

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.45
Yahoo: $7.42

Results

Graham Number$8.67
Current Price$45.57
Margin of Safety-81.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.87%
Computed WACC: 11.87%
Cost of equity (Re)12.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.81%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.91%
Debt weight (D/V)12.09%

Results

Current Price$45.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-5.4%
Historical Revenue Growth38.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$1.24B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.06

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$42.44
Current Price$45.57
Upside / Downside-6.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $853.86M
Current: 13.9×
Default: $1.59B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$66.73
Current Price$45.57
Upside / Downside+46.4%
Implied EV$11.85B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B
9.9x$44.51$44.51$44.51$44.51$44.51
11.9x$55.62$55.62$55.62$55.62$55.62
13.9x$66.73$66.73$66.73$66.73$66.73
15.9x$77.84$77.84$77.84$77.84$77.84
17.9x$88.95$88.95$88.95$88.95$88.95