TPR

TPR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($156.42)
DCF$10828.50+6822.7%
Graham Number$12.56-92.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.6%
DDM$32.96-78.9%
EV/EBITDA$155.47-0.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.42B
Rev: 14.0% / EPS: 94.2%
Computed: 12.21%
Computed WACC: 12.21%
Cost of equity (Re)13.14%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.61 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.82%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.03%
Debt weight (D/V)10.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5993.10
Current Price$156.42
Upside / Downside+3731.4%
Net Debt (used)$2.87B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term86.2%90.2%94.2%98.2%102.2%
7.0%$14349.18$15953.91$17699.15$19593.92$21647.64
8.0%$11032.54$12265.53$13606.41$15062.11$16639.86
9.0%$8781.34$9762.04$10828.50$11986.23$13240.97
10.0%$7166.03$7965.74$8835.34$9779.31$10802.32
11.0%$5959.50$6624.06$7346.64$8130.98$8980.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.58
Yahoo: $2.72

Results

Graham Number$12.56
Current Price$156.42
Margin of Safety-92.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.21%
Computed WACC: 12.21%
Cost of equity (Re)13.14%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.61 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.82%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.03%
Debt weight (D/V)10.97%

Results

Current Price$156.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth18.7%
Historical Revenue Growth14.0%
Historical Earnings Growth94.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.42B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.96
Current Price$156.42
Upside / Downside-78.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.81B
Current: 18.9×
Default: $2.87B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$155.47
Current Price$156.42
Upside / Downside-0.6%
Implied EV$34.34B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$866.00M$1.87B$2.87B$3.87B$4.87B
14.9x$129.53$124.59$119.65$114.71$109.77
16.9x$147.44$142.50$137.56$132.62$127.68
18.9x$165.35$160.41$155.47$150.54$145.60
20.9x$183.27$178.33$173.39$168.45$163.51
22.9x$201.18$196.24$191.30$186.36$181.42