TREX

TREX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($40.61)
DCF$4.26-89.5%
Graham Number$20.12-50.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 40.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$40.10-1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $36.46M
Rev: -3.9% / EPS: -89.4%
Computed: 12.56%
Computed WACC: 12.56%
Cost of equity (Re)13.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.88%
Debt weight (D/V)4.12%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2.12
Current Price$40.61
Upside / Downside-94.8%
Net Debt (used)$183.53M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$4.31$5.52$6.94$8.58$10.47
8.0%$3.24$4.22$5.35$6.67$8.18
9.0%$2.49$3.31$4.26$5.35$6.60
10.0%$1.95$2.65$3.45$4.38$5.45
11.0%$1.53$2.14$2.84$3.64$4.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.84
Yahoo: $9.78

Results

Graham Number$20.12
Current Price$40.61
Margin of Safety-50.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.56%
Computed WACC: 12.56%
Cost of equity (Re)13.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.88%
Debt weight (D/V)4.12%

Results

Current Price$40.61
Implied Near-term FCF Growth51.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-89.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$36.46M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$40.61
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $320.22M
Current: 14.0×
Default: $183.53M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$40.10
Current Price$40.61
Upside / Downside-1.2%
Implied EV$4.48B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.82B-$816.47M$183.53M$1.18B$2.18B
10.0x$46.81$37.49$28.16$18.84$9.52
12.0x$52.78$43.46$34.13$24.81$15.49
14.0x$58.75$49.43$40.10$30.78$21.46
16.0x$64.72$55.40$46.08$36.75$27.43
18.0x$70.69$61.37$52.05$42.72$33.40