TROX

TROX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.08)
DCF$-49.61-800.7%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.12-41.8%
EV/EBITDA$7.58+7.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$221.25M
Rev: 8.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.37%
Computed WACC: 6.37%
Cost of equity (Re)10.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.42%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)24.59%
Debt weight (D/V)75.41%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-70.38
Current Price$7.08
Upside / Downside-1094.1%
Net Debt (used)$3.24B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term0.0%4.0%8.0%12.0%16.0%
7.0%$-50.36$-56.30$-63.18$-71.13$-80.25
8.0%$-44.88$-49.64$-55.16$-61.51$-68.80
9.0%$-41.09$-45.04$-49.61$-54.87$-60.89
10.0%$-38.32$-41.68$-45.55$-50.01$-55.12
11.0%$-36.20$-39.10$-42.46$-46.31$-50.71

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-2.97
Yahoo: $8.94

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$7.08
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.37%
Computed WACC: 6.37%
Cost of equity (Re)10.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.42%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)24.59%
Debt weight (D/V)75.41%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$7.08
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth8.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$221.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$7.08
Upside / Downside-41.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $279.00M
Current: 15.9×
Default: $3.24B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$7.58
Current Price$7.08
Upside / Downside+7.1%
Implied EV$4.44B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.24B$2.24B$3.24B$4.24B$5.24B
11.9x$13.16$6.85$0.55$-5.76$-12.07
13.9x$16.68$10.37$4.07$-2.24$-8.55
15.9x$20.20$13.89$7.58$1.28$-5.03
17.9x$23.72$17.41$11.10$4.80$-1.51
19.9x$27.24$20.93$14.62$8.32$2.01