TSLA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($410.63)
DCF	$25.28	-93.8%
Graham Number	$22.96	-94.4%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 63.9%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$410.83	+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $3.73B

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -3.1% / EPS: -60.6%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 14.54%

Computed WACC: 14.54%

Cost of equity (Re)14.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.89 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.05%

Debt weight (D/V)0.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$17.16

Current Price$410.63

Upside / Downside-95.8%

Net Debt (used)-$29.34B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$25.43	$28.99	$33.14	$37.93	$43.46
8.0%	$22.30	$25.17	$28.50	$32.34	$36.77
9.0%	$20.13	$22.51	$25.28	$28.48	$32.15
10.0%	$18.53	$20.57	$22.93	$25.65	$28.77
11.0%	$17.31	$19.08	$21.13	$23.48	$26.18

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $1.07

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $21.90

Results

Graham Number$22.96

Current Price$410.63

Margin of Safety-94.4%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 14.54%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 14.54%

Cost of equity (Re)14.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.89 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.05%

Debt weight (D/V)0.95%

Results

Current Price$410.63

Implied Near-term FCF Growth84.3%

Historical Revenue Growth-3.1%

Historical Earnings Growth-60.6%

Base FCF (TTM)$3.73B

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$410.63

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $10.50B

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 144.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$29.34B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$410.83

Current Price$410.63

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$1.51T

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$43.34B	-$36.34B	-$29.34B	-$22.34B	-$15.34B
140.0x	$403.36	$401.49	$399.63	$397.76	$395.90
142.0x	$408.96	$407.09	$405.23	$403.36	$401.50
144.0x	$414.56	$412.69	$410.83	$408.96	$407.09
146.0x	$420.15	$418.29	$416.42	$414.56	$412.69
148.0x	$425.75	$423.89	$422.02	$420.16	$418.29

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