TTD

TTD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($24.32)
DCF$43.17+77.5%
Graham Number$10.28-57.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.8%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$26.29+8.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $601.55M
Rev: 14.3% / EPS: 7.5%
Computed: 10.46%
Computed WACC: 10.46%
Cost of equity (Re)10.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.46%
Debt weight (D/V)3.54%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$34.82
Current Price$24.32
Upside / Downside+43.2%
Net Debt (used)-$866.73M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.3%10.3%14.3%18.3%22.3%
7.0%$45.55$53.82$63.35$74.26$86.70
8.0%$37.19$43.78$51.36$60.03$69.92
9.0%$31.43$36.86$43.10$50.23$58.36
10.0%$27.22$31.81$37.07$43.09$49.93
11.0%$24.02$27.97$32.50$37.66$43.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.90
Yahoo: $5.22

Results

Graham Number$10.28
Current Price$24.32
Margin of Safety-57.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.46%
Computed WACC: 10.46%
Cost of equity (Re)10.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.46%
Debt weight (D/V)3.54%

Results

Current Price$24.32
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.4%
Historical Revenue Growth14.3%
Historical Earnings Growth7.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$601.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$24.32
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $690.11M
Current: 15.5×
Default: -$866.73M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$26.29
Current Price$24.32
Upside / Downside+8.1%
Implied EV$10.71B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.87B-$1.87B-$866.73M$133.27M$1.13B
11.5x$24.56$22.29$20.02$17.75$15.48
13.5x$27.70$25.43$23.15$20.88$18.61
15.5x$30.83$28.56$26.29$24.02$21.75
17.5x$33.97$31.70$29.42$27.15$24.88
19.5x$37.10$34.83$32.56$30.29$28.02