TUYA

TUYA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.49)
DCF$2.75+10.4%
Graham Number$1.71-31.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -0.2%
DDM$2.27-9.0%
EV/EBITDA$2.82+13.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $30.19M
Rev: 1.1% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2.75
Current Price$2.49
Upside / Downside+10.4%
Net Debt (used)-$954.22M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$2.76$2.96$3.19$3.46$3.77
8.0%$2.58$2.74$2.93$3.14$3.39
9.0%$2.46$2.59$2.75$2.93$3.13
10.0%$2.37$2.48$2.62$2.77$2.94
11.0%$2.30$2.40$2.51$2.65$2.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.08
Yahoo: $1.63

Results

Graham Number$1.71
Current Price$2.49
Margin of Safety-31.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$2.49
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-0.2%
Historical Revenue Growth1.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$30.19M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.11

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.27
Current Price$2.49
Upside / Downside-9.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $593,250
Current: 959.7×
Default: -$954.22M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.82
Current Price$2.49
Upside / Downside+13.3%
Implied EV$569.32M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.95B-$1.95B-$954.22M$45.78M$1.05B
955.7x$6.52$4.67$2.82$0.96$-0.89
957.7x$6.52$4.67$2.82$0.97$-0.88
959.7x$6.52$4.67$2.82$0.97$-0.88
961.7x$6.53$4.67$2.82$0.97$-0.88
963.7x$6.53$4.68$2.82$0.97$-0.88