TW

TW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($122.98)
DCF$15.22-87.6%
Graham Number$51.04-58.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$11.54-90.6%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 12.5% / EPS: 128.8%
Computed: 8.67%
Computed WACC: 8.67%
Cost of equity (Re)8.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.45%
Debt weight (D/V)0.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$15.22
Current Price$122.98
Upside / Downside-87.6%
Net Debt (used)-$1.76B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term120.8%124.8%128.8%132.8%136.8%
7.0%$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22
8.0%$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22
9.0%$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22
10.0%$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22
11.0%$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22$15.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.78
Yahoo: $30.63

Results

Graham Number$51.04
Current Price$122.98
Margin of Safety-58.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.67%
Computed WACC: 8.67%
Cost of equity (Re)8.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.45%
Debt weight (D/V)0.55%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$122.98
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth12.5%
Historical Earnings Growth128.8%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$122.98
Upside / Downside-90.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$1.76B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.22
Current Price$122.98
Upside / Downside-87.6%
Implied EV$0