TWIN

TWIN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($17.53)
DCF$-14608382416865.31-83333613330763.5%
Graham Number$20.92+19.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$3.30-81.2%
EV/EBITDA$17.58+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$15.66M
Rev: 0.3% / EPS: 2239.0%
Computed: 6.35%
Computed WACC: 6.35%
Cost of equity (Re)8.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.07%
Debt weight (D/V)20.93%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-30705817573443.88
Current Price$17.53
Upside / Downside-175161537783579.1%
Net Debt (used)$52.02M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2231.0%2235.0%2239.0%2243.0%2247.0%
7.0%$-24460552303736.15$-24671145569534.91$-24883186827324.45$-25096683531353.09$-25311643161408.29
8.0%$-18422426577108.54$-18581034564624.04$-18740733105033.46$-18901527812492.23$-19063424320390.51
9.0%$-14360262801876.06$-14483897566934.78$-14608382416865.31$-14733721727896.10$-14859919891249.05
10.0%$-11473873328107.61$-11572657706344.71$-11672121303775.63$-11772267617014.02$-11873100154653.29
11.0%$-9340526425786.17$-9420943741566.97$-9501913988745.71$-9583440013807.69$-9665524672990.63

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.52
Yahoo: $12.79

Results

Graham Number$20.92
Current Price$17.53
Margin of Safety+19.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.35%
Computed WACC: 6.35%
Cost of equity (Re)8.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.07%
Debt weight (D/V)20.93%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$17.53
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth0.3%
Historical Earnings Growth2239.0%
Base FCF (TTM)-$15.66M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.16

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$3.30
Current Price$17.53
Upside / Downside-81.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $25.32M
Current: 12.1×
Default: $52.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$17.58
Current Price$17.53
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$305.49M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.95B-$947.99M$52.02M$1.05B$2.05B
8.1x$149.23$79.89$10.55$-58.79$-128.13
10.1x$152.74$83.40$14.06$-55.28$-124.62
12.1x$156.26$86.92$17.58$-51.76$-121.10
14.1x$159.77$90.43$21.09$-48.25$-117.59
16.1x$163.28$93.94$24.60$-44.74$-114.08