UA

UA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.00)
DCF$-39.47-663.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$14.86+112.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$385.75M
Rev: -5.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 10.07%
Computed WACC: 10.07%
Cost of equity (Re)14.04%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.87%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.86%
Debt weight (D/V)36.14%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-34.69
Current Price$7.00
Upside / Downside-595.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.22B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-39.75$-46.57$-54.50$-63.68$-74.26
8.0%$-33.76$-39.24$-45.62$-52.98$-61.46
9.0%$-29.60$-34.17$-39.47$-45.58$-52.61
10.0%$-26.55$-30.44$-34.96$-40.16$-46.14
11.0%$-24.21$-27.60$-31.51$-36.02$-41.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.22
Yahoo: $3.37

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$7.00
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.07%
Computed WACC: 10.07%
Cost of equity (Re)14.04%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.87%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.86%
Debt weight (D/V)36.14%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$7.00
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-5.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$385.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$7.00
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $96.72M
Current: 43.8×
Default: $1.22B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.86
Current Price$7.00
Upside / Downside+112.2%
Implied EV$4.23B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.22B$1.22B$1.22B$1.22B$1.22B
39.8x$12.95$12.95$12.95$12.95$12.95
41.8x$13.91$13.91$13.91$13.91$13.91
43.8x$14.86$14.86$14.86$14.86$14.86
45.8x$15.82$15.82$15.82$15.82$15.82
47.8x$16.77$16.77$16.77$16.77$16.77