UAVS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.05)
DCF	$-3.42	-425.9%
Graham Number	$24.55	+2238.0%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$9.30M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -40.0% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 18.54%

Computed WACC: 18.54%

Cost of equity (Re)19.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.77 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.99%

Debt weight (D/V)5.01%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.17

Current Price$1.05

Upside / Downside-211.5%

Net Debt (used)-$14.22M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-3.45	$-4.22	$-5.11	$-6.14	$-7.32
8.0%	$-2.78	$-3.40	$-4.11	$-4.94	$-5.89
9.0%	$-2.32	$-2.83	$-3.42	$-4.11	$-4.90
10.0%	$-1.97	$-2.41	$-2.92	$-3.50	$-4.17
11.0%	$-1.71	$-2.09	$-2.53	$-3.04	$-3.62

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $34.74

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.77

Results

Graham Number$24.55

Current Price$1.05

Margin of Safety+2238.0%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 18.54%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 18.54%

Cost of equity (Re)19.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.77 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.99%

Debt weight (D/V)5.01%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.05

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-40.0%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$9.30M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.05

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$8.43M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -3.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$14.22M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.97

Current Price$1.05

Upside / Downside-8.0%

Implied EV$27.86M

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