UCB

UCB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($32.51)
DCF$1.12-96.5%
Graham Number$42.17+29.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$20.60-36.6%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 10.5% / EPS: 15.8%
Computed: 8.34%
Computed WACC: 8.34%
Cost of equity (Re)8.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.85 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.91%
Debt weight (D/V)7.09%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1.12
Current Price$32.51
Upside / Downside-96.5%
Net Debt (used)-$134.31M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term7.8%11.8%15.8%19.8%23.8%
7.0%$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12
8.0%$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12
9.0%$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12
10.0%$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12
11.0%$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12$1.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.62
Yahoo: $30.17

Results

Graham Number$42.17
Current Price$32.51
Margin of Safety+29.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.34%
Computed WACC: 8.34%
Cost of equity (Re)8.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.85 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.91%
Debt weight (D/V)7.09%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$32.51
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth10.5%
Historical Earnings Growth15.8%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$32.51
Upside / Downside-36.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$134.31M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.12
Current Price$32.51
Upside / Downside-96.5%
Implied EV$0