UCTT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($63.22)
DCF	$3.64	-94.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 37.9%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$64.97	+2.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $28.88M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -10.0% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 12.47%

Computed WACC: 12.47%

Cost of equity (Re)15.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.00 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)81.45%

Debt weight (D/V)18.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.29

Current Price$63.22

Upside / Downside-100.5%

Net Debt (used)$341.90M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$3.73	$6.01	$8.66	$11.73	$15.26
8.0%	$1.73	$3.56	$5.69	$8.15	$10.99
9.0%	$0.34	$1.87	$3.64	$5.68	$8.03
10.0%	$-0.68	$0.62	$2.13	$3.87	$5.86
11.0%	$-1.46	$-0.33	$0.98	$2.49	$4.21

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-3.73

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $15.63

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$63.22

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 12.47%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 12.47%

Cost of equity (Re)15.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.00 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)81.45%

Debt weight (D/V)18.55%

Results

Current Price$63.22

Implied Near-term FCF Growth49.2%

Historical Revenue Growth-10.0%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$28.88M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$63.22

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $119.70M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 27.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: $341.90M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$64.97

Current Price$63.22

Upside / Downside+2.8%

Implied EV$3.29B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.66B	-$658.10M	$341.90M	$1.34B	$2.34B
23.5x	$98.49	$76.46	$54.43	$32.39	$10.36
25.5x	$103.77	$81.73	$59.70	$37.67	$15.63
27.5x	$109.04	$87.01	$64.97	$42.94	$20.91
29.5x	$114.31	$92.28	$70.25	$48.22	$26.18
31.5x	$119.59	$97.56	$75.52	$53.49	$31.46

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