UDR

UDR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($37.45)
DCF$29.42-21.4%
Graham Number$15.85-57.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.7%
DDM$35.43-5.4%
EV/EBITDA$40.20+7.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $892.48M
Rev: 1.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.54%
Computed WACC: 6.54%
Cost of equity (Re)8.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.38%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.13%
Debt weight (D/V)29.87%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$58.81
Current Price$37.45
Upside / Downside+57.0%
Net Debt (used)$6.00B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$29.83$39.55$50.87$63.96$79.05
8.0%$21.27$29.10$38.19$48.70$60.79
9.0%$15.34$21.86$29.42$38.14$48.17
10.0%$10.98$16.55$22.99$30.41$38.93
11.0%$7.65$12.48$18.07$24.50$31.88

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.13
Yahoo: $9.89

Results

Graham Number$15.85
Current Price$37.45
Margin of Safety-57.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.54%
Computed WACC: 6.54%
Cost of equity (Re)8.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.38%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.13%
Debt weight (D/V)29.87%

Results

Current Price$37.45
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-0.1%
Historical Revenue Growth1.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$892.48M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$35.43
Current Price$37.45
Upside / Downside-5.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.04B
Current: 18.6×
Default: $6.00B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$40.20
Current Price$37.45
Upside / Downside+7.3%
Implied EV$19.21B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.00B$4.00B$6.00B$8.00B$10.00B
14.6x$39.77$33.68$27.60$21.51$15.42
16.6x$46.07$39.99$33.90$27.81$21.72
18.6x$52.37$46.29$40.20$34.11$28.03
20.6x$58.67$52.59$46.50$40.41$34.33
22.6x$64.98$58.89$52.80$46.71$40.63