ULBI

ULBI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.76)
DCF$-5.72-199.3%
Graham Number$4.31-25.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$5.87+1.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.12M
Rev: 21.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.03%
Computed WACC: 7.03%
Cost of equity (Re)8.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.81%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.05%
Debt weight (D/V)35.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-7.27
Current Price$5.76
Upside / Downside-226.3%
Net Debt (used)$44.54M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.5%17.5%21.5%25.5%29.5%
7.0%$-6.02$-6.62$-7.31$-8.09$-8.98
8.0%$-5.35$-5.83$-6.37$-6.99$-7.69
9.0%$-4.89$-5.28$-5.72$-6.23$-6.80
10.0%$-4.56$-4.88$-5.26$-5.68$-6.16
11.0%$-4.30$-4.58$-4.90$-5.26$-5.67

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.10
Yahoo: $8.24

Results

Graham Number$4.31
Current Price$5.76
Margin of Safety-25.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.03%
Computed WACC: 7.03%
Cost of equity (Re)8.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.81%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.05%
Debt weight (D/V)35.95%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$5.76
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth21.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$1.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$5.76
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $12.41M
Current: 11.5×
Default: $44.54M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.87
Current Price$5.76
Upside / Downside+1.9%
Implied EV$142.27M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.96B-$955.46M$44.54M$1.04B$2.04B
7.5x$123.06$62.97$2.89$-57.19$-117.28
9.5x$124.55$64.46$4.38$-55.70$-115.79
11.5x$126.04$65.95$5.87$-54.21$-114.29
13.5x$127.53$67.45$7.36$-52.72$-112.80
15.5x$129.02$68.94$8.85$-51.23$-111.31