UMBFO

UMBFO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($26.71)
DCF$-1082868992.00-4054170792.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$39.96+49.6%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 67.6% / EPS: 12.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1082868992.00
Current Price$26.71
Upside / Downside-4054170792.6%
Net Debt (used)$1.08B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term59.6%63.6%67.6%71.6%75.6%
7.0%$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00
8.0%$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00
9.0%$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00
10.0%$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00
11.0%$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00$-1082868992.00

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: —
Yahoo: $97.41

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$26.71
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$26.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth67.6%
Historical Earnings Growth12.6%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.94

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$39.96
Current Price$26.71
Upside / Downside+49.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $1.08B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-1082868992.00
Current Price$26.71
Upside / Downside-4054170792.6%
Implied EV$0