UNM

UNM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($72.11)
DCF$-347.52-581.9%
Graham Number$80.48+11.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$37.90-47.4%
EV/EBITDA$72.11+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.19B
Rev: 0.2% / EPS: -45.9%
Computed: 5.05%
Computed WACC: 5.05%
Cost of equity (Re)5.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.56%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.57%
Debt weight (D/V)25.43%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-883.60
Current Price$72.11
Upside / Downside-1325.3%
Net Debt (used)$940.80M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-350.46$-420.16$-501.26$-595.12$-703.23
8.0%$-289.12$-345.23$-410.40$-485.73$-572.39
9.0%$-246.61$-293.33$-347.52$-410.07$-481.94
10.0%$-215.41$-255.27$-301.43$-354.64$-415.71
11.0%$-191.52$-226.15$-266.20$-312.30$-365.15

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.29
Yahoo: $67.11

Results

Graham Number$80.48
Current Price$72.11
Margin of Safety+11.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.05%
Computed WACC: 5.05%
Cost of equity (Re)5.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.56%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.57%
Debt weight (D/V)25.43%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$72.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth0.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-45.9%
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.19B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.90
Current Price$72.11
Upside / Downside-47.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.27B
Current: 10.1×
Default: $940.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$72.11
Current Price$72.11
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$12.75B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.06B-$59.20M$940.80M$1.94B$2.94B
6.1x$53.42$47.31$41.20$35.10$28.99
8.1x$68.87$62.76$56.66$50.55$44.44
10.1x$84.32$78.22$72.11$66.00$59.90
12.1x$99.78$93.67$87.56$81.46$75.35
14.1x$115.23$109.12$103.02$96.91$90.80