URBN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($65.69)
DCF	$50.75	-22.7%
Graham Number	$61.06	-7.0%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 14.1%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$66.22	+0.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $214.81M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 10.1% / EPS: -17.4%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.15%

Computed WACC: 9.15%

Cost of equity (Re)10.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.50%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)82.78%

Debt weight (D/V)17.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$49.48

Current Price$65.69

Upside / Downside-24.7%

Net Debt (used)$529.64M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	2.1%	6.1%	10.1%	14.1%	18.1%
7.0%	$52.97	$64.48	$77.79	$93.11	$110.67
8.0%	$42.01	$51.21	$61.85	$74.08	$88.07
9.0%	$34.43	$42.05	$50.85	$60.94	$72.49
10.0%	$28.89	$35.36	$42.80	$51.35	$61.11
11.0%	$24.67	$30.25	$36.68	$44.04	$52.45

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $5.28

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $31.39

Results

Graham Number$61.06

Current Price$65.69

Margin of Safety-7.0%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.15%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.15%

Cost of equity (Re)10.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.50%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)82.78%

Debt weight (D/V)17.22%

Results

Current Price$65.69

Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.6%

Historical Revenue Growth10.1%

Historical Earnings Growth-17.4%

Base FCF (TTM)$214.81M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$65.69

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $736.15M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 8.8×

Net Debt($B)Default: $529.64M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$66.22

Current Price$65.69

Upside / Downside+0.8%

Implied EV$6.47B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.47B	-$470.36M	$529.64M	$1.53B	$2.53B
4.8x	$55.68	$44.53	$33.38	$22.23	$11.08
6.8x	$72.10	$60.95	$49.80	$38.65	$27.50
8.8x	$88.52	$77.37	$66.22	$55.07	$43.91
10.8x	$104.94	$93.78	$82.63	$71.48	$60.33
12.8x	$121.35	$110.20	$99.05	$87.90	$76.75

← Overview Financial Statements ← Companies