URG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.63)
DCF	$-3.26	-300.0%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$71.64M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -1.2% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.47%

Computed WACC: 8.47%

Cost of equity (Re)8.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)1.55%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)96.94%

Debt weight (D/V)3.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-3.56

Current Price$1.63

Upside / Downside-318.4%

Net Debt (used)-$32.71M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-3.29	$-3.97	$-4.76	$-5.68	$-6.74
8.0%	$-2.69	$-3.23	$-3.87	$-4.61	$-5.46
9.0%	$-2.27	$-2.73	$-3.26	$-3.87	$-4.57
10.0%	$-1.96	$-2.35	$-2.81	$-3.33	$-3.92
11.0%	$-1.73	$-2.07	$-2.46	$-2.91	$-3.43

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.22

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.24

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.63

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.47%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.47%

Cost of equity (Re)8.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)1.55%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)96.94%

Debt weight (D/V)3.06%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.63

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-1.2%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$71.64M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.63

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$68.91M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -9.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$32.71M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.74

Current Price$1.63

Upside / Downside+6.9%

Implied EV$621.89M

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