URGN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($18.57)
DCF	$-535.53	-2984.6%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$99.42M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 54.0% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.28%

Computed WACC: 10.28%

Cost of equity (Re)11.82%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.37 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)86.98%

Debt weight (D/V)13.02%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-421.31

Current Price$18.57

Upside / Downside-2369.4%

Net Debt (used)$9.63M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	46.0%	50.0%	54.0%	58.0%	62.0%
7.0%	$-655.37	$-748.93	$-852.95	$-968.27	$-1095.79
8.0%	$-510.77	$-583.43	$-664.20	$-753.73	$-852.72
9.0%	$-412.18	$-470.60	$-535.53	$-607.48	$-687.03
10.0%	$-341.08	$-389.24	$-442.75	$-502.04	$-567.58
11.0%	$-287.69	$-328.15	$-373.09	$-422.88	$-477.91

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-3.47

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-2.18

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$18.57

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.28%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.28%

Cost of equity (Re)11.82%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.37 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)86.98%

Debt weight (D/V)13.02%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$18.57

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth54.0%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$99.42M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$18.57

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$124.56M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -7.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: $9.63M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.78

Current Price$18.57

Upside / Downside+6.5%

Implied EV$935.54M

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