USB-PP

USB-PP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($23.54)
DCF$-19.93-184.7%
Graham Number$62.59+165.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$28.43+20.8%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 5.3% / EPS: 24.7%
Computed: 4.73%
Computed WACC: 4.73%
Cost of equity (Re)10.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.04 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.16%
Debt weight (D/V)52.84%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-19.93
Current Price$23.54
Upside / Downside-184.7%
Net Debt (used)$32.21B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term16.7%20.7%24.7%28.7%32.7%
7.0%$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93
8.0%$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93
9.0%$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93
10.0%$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93
11.0%$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93$-19.93

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.64
Yahoo: $37.54

Results

Graham Number$62.59
Current Price$23.54
Margin of Safety+165.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.73%
Computed WACC: 4.73%
Cost of equity (Re)10.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.04 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.16%
Debt weight (D/V)52.84%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$23.54
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth5.3%
Historical Earnings Growth24.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.38

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.43
Current Price$23.54
Upside / Downside+20.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $32.21B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-19.93
Current Price$23.54
Upside / Downside-184.7%
Implied EV$0